I liked his posts too.

Problem was, he was always wrong.

Interesting set of data he uses, very unconventional.

Totally agree, wasn't chastising anyone. I was always hoping he'd be right but I can't remember that happening.

Anyway, tell him we said hi!

Well said

That would be cool of he were learning instead of making bogus predictions.

You can’t learn without trial and error.

Also calling them bogus predictions when he spent a lot of time researching is disrespectful and dismissive of the extensive work he puts in.. keyboard warriors like you who put others down for experimenting or trying something new are one of the biggest problem these days. Yeah he might not be right every time but at least he’s persistent.

What are you doing to contribute to the world?

A prediction is bogus if it's wrong because it's based on flawed thinking or flawed data. No matter how much hard work someone puts into a bogus theory, that's wasted work, and the theory remains bogus.

What are you doing to contribute to the world?

The specifics are my business, but, plenty. I've gotten a lot accomplished in my life, both in the realms of science and in politics, and I'm still going.

My thought is that you wish you were doing more. Almost always, when somebody something like you just did, it's because they are angry or disappointed with themself for that same reason. In other words, you feel that you are a keyboard warrior who has contributed nothing to the world.

he was always wrong.

Wrong. He was also right a couple of times. I saved one of his 2016 posts (deleted account GlobalHell):

https://np.reddit.com/r/conspiracy/comments/5dal9j/75_90_within_48_hours_likely_soon_11161118/

A stopped clock is right twice a day.

Interesting. Well if you watch dutchsinse you will be able to follow the earthquake patterns all the way up to this prediction. You will know at least a week before if it night happen or not.

Dutchsinse and BP Earthwatch rock.

Never heard of him before, but that sounds really interesting. What methods is he using for prediction?

Awesome! I hope he isn’t right, but in one way wouldn’t it also help to be taken seriously in the future so that people are listening and can prepare?

The general idea was, that the minuscule effect of the solar winds on Earth's magnetic field sums up to measurable influence.

The wind's pressure is tiny.
But Earth's magnetic field is huge...

Paging /r/theydidthemath please?

Remember, that whatever is driving said field lies deep within our planet.

It's basic physics, essentially. You have a tiny amount of force, but an immense lever, and the fulcrum is deep down...

I say it is plausible enough....

Tell him we miss his posts and all the best! How us his paper writeup going on?

I miss him! Please tell him hi!

Something solar flares I believe.

I think that’s tomorrow as the solar flare already happened. Now we brace for impact. :(

I vaguely remember this guys posts and was always interested. If I recall correctly people would call him out because "earthquakes are happening all the time so you're bound to get it right at some point"

Yes, they do. And, funnily enough, he consistently gives a large time frame for the quakes to fall within. Also, get this, the countries he typically chooses are all very earthquake prone. Nepal, Japan, and Italy have had 116 earthquakes in the past 365 days according to this website. That's 1 earthquake between those three countries every 3.14655 days. Obviously, odds are VERY high an earthquake happens in one of those countries within his 8 day guess (he frequently boasted about earthquakes that took place outside of his guessed timeframe as well). All he's "hoping" for is that the size of the earthquake is near his guess. Everything else he does is just playing good odds.

Hey, here's a prediction: I bet Papua New Guinea, California, or Alaska get a 6.5+ in the next 9 days. I'll take credit for anything within a month, though. Cause of my formulas. And maths. We wait and see :)

lol

Remindme! 1 week

Already a 4.9, 4.6, and 4.8 in Papua New Guinea today! A bunch in California and Alaska too! Just gotta wait for the 6.5 to hit...

Of course he'll predict earthquakes on earthquake-prone areas.

Do you really think he ought to predict an earthquake in the middle of Brazil?

Some people here...

No, champ. My point is that it was silly that people were super duper impressed that a guy would list 3+ earthquake prone areas and predict that an earthquake would happen there within two weeks. It’s a simple numbers game. Like, next year I predict 6 hurricanes will happen during hurricane season in the Atlantic. Wanna know why? Cause that’s about the average a year. Wanna know why I picked that location? Cause that’s where they happen. Crazy.

Incorrect, he previous has come out and said his ability to predict where the earthquake will happen is the problem with his perditions. Magnitude has been consistent. His predictions are far from 100% accurate but every post of his I have followed were he has predicted a +7.0 magnitude quake has occurred but often not were he predicts. So I would just be prepared for the event regards where you are. Not overly useful prediction yet, but I do think he is on to something just does not have all of it worked out.

Great. Here’s the thing. Earthquakes happen all the damn time. The odds of one happening during the flares or whatever he used to make his predictions are very high.

Agreed earthquakes happen all the time. Earthquakes with magnitudes +7.0 significantly less common. I think the difference between us is that I recognize that our understanding in many topic is incomplete at best, so I keep an open mind to new theories and ideas but hey to each thier own.

I recognize that as well. I also recognize what an educated guess is as well. My mind is open to things that don't require me to have the imagination of a first grader.

How does it take the imagination of a first grader to think solar activity can affect seismic activity? We have had a basic understanding of these concepts for less 100 years and you think we know how both of these complex systems interact without missing something?

Maybe instead of trying to insult me for keeping an open mind, you can talk with people that would agree with you and the current accepted understanding in r/science. This is r/conspiracy where we like to talk about things that are on the fringe.

Maybe instead of trying to insult me

Were you not doing this here?

I think the difference between us is that I recognize that our understanding in many topic is incomplete at best, so I keep an open mind to new theories and ideas but hey to each thier own.

I was a huge fan of his, even if he wasn't 100% accurate I think he was on to something and his method and dedication were amazing. We need more creators and contributors like him.

As someone who has an engineering degree in geoscience, predicting earthquakes is always complicated. It's not something you can have 100% accuracy at. I used to feel bad when he used to get flak for not being accurate from various posters.

The problem was not his accuracy necessarily, the problem is that he flat out refused to provide any data on his accuracy after asking for $250000.

Makes sense...aren't we suppose to get slammed with a solar flare tomorrow?

F For parsingsol.. sad he left

Pick a mid range number and list off all the earthquake hot spots and BAM your an earthquake predictor.

[removed]

They went high.

Never heard of him, used to follow dutchsinse on YouTube. Another earthquake prediction guy looking at patterns of stress on shifting plates.

!RemindMe 14 days

I will be messaging you on 2018-03-28 02:18:41 UTC to remind you of this link.

CLICK THIS LINK to send a PM to also be reminded and to reduce spam.

^{Parent commenter can delete this message to hide from others.}

I never thought I'd be happy to see another half-baked earthquake prediction thread on this sub, but here we are. I missed this.

RemindMe! March 28

Nelson_HaHa.wav

What does he mean by tick tock?

Man, tell him to come back. His shit was so fascinating.

This guy is a scam artist.

That is not an attack on a member or mod of this sub (he is no longer here afaik) It's a criticism of a guy who publicly asked for a quarter million dollars and flat out refused to provide any data to back up his claims.

Please make sure this is not on my record, I've been very careful to follow the rules to the letter, and I don't need any spurious warnings on top of the genuine ones.

How is this a conspiracy?

I like parsingsol, OP, if you read this, can you please ask parsingsol to look into the electric/plasma universe theory, its brutally interesting and kind of falls in line with his ideology.

Tell him we miss him, I always enjoyed keeping up with his profile. I believe he made good crypto predictions as well

03/28, nothing.

Hmm...